Varnsdorfvs
Sokol Brozany
COMPLETEDCzech-Republic · 3. liga - CFL B · 10/25/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Varnsdorf · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-0 (11%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Varnsdorf 3-2 Sokol Brozany
Original prediction
Varnsdorf
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 00:37 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.45 | 62.0% | 49.8% | -12.2 pts |
| Draw | 4.50 | 20.0% | 25.7% | 5.7 pts |
| Away | 5.00 | 18.0% | 24.4% | 6.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.45 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-12.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–011%
- 3.2–110%
Predicted outcome
Varnsdorf
Probability
49.8%
Model confidence
49.8%
Varnsdorf has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40