Varnsdorfvs
Horní Ředice
COMPLETEDCzech-Republic · 3. liga - CFL B · 10/28/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Varnsdorf · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (10%), 3-0 (10%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Varnsdorf 1-3 Horní Ředice
Original prediction
Varnsdorf
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 14 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.39 | 64.8% | 54.7% | -10.1 pts |
| Draw | 4.85 | 18.6% | 23.5% | 5.0 pts |
| Away | 5.41 | 16.7% | 21.8% | 5.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-10.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–010%
- 2.3–010%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
Varnsdorf
Probability
54.7%
Model confidence
54.7%
Varnsdorf has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40