Varnsdorfvs
Slovan Liberec II
COMPLETEDCzech-Republic · 3. liga - CFL B · 10/4/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Varnsdorf · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 1-1 (8%), 3-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Varnsdorf 1-1 Slovan Liberec II
Original prediction
Varnsdorf
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 8 September 2026 at 09:53 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.37 | 66.2% | 50.1% | -16.1 pts |
| Draw | 5.00 | 18.1% | 24.8% | 6.7 pts |
| Away | 5.77 | 15.7% | 25.1% | 9.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 4.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-16.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.3–18%
Predicted outcome
Varnsdorf
Probability
50.1%
Model confidence
50.1%
Varnsdorf has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 13 · avg 2.00/2.60
GF 4 · GA 12 · avg 0.80/2.40