Vancouver Whitecapsvs
St. Louis City
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 9/6/2026, 2:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Vancouver Whitecaps · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (13%), 1-0 (10%), 3-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Vancouver Whitecaps 1-3 St. Louis City
Original prediction
Vancouver Whitecaps
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:23 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.43 | 65.4% | 71.7% | 6.3 pts |
| Draw | 4.84 | 19.3% | 17.0% | -2.3 pts |
| Away | 6.13 | 15.2% | 11.3% | -3.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–013%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.3–010%
Predicted outcome
Vancouver Whitecaps
Probability
71.7%
Model confidence
71.7%
Vancouver Whitecaps has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 2 · avg 2.20/0.40
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40