Vancouver Whitecapsvs
Los Angeles Galaxy
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 9/10/2026, 2:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Vancouver Whitecaps · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (13%), 3-0 (11%), 1-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Vancouver Whitecaps 3-0 Los Angeles Galaxy
Original prediction
Vancouver Whitecaps
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.31 | 71.5% | 56.4% | -15.1 pts |
| Draw | 5.67 | 16.5% | 23.3% | 6.8 pts |
| Away | 7.86 | 11.9% | 20.3% | 8.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.31 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-15.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–013%
- 2.3–011%
- 3.1–010%
Predicted outcome
Vancouver Whitecaps
Probability
56.4%
Model confidence
56.4%
Vancouver Whitecaps has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40