Vancouver Whitecapsvs
DC United
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 9/27/2026, 2:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Vancouver Whitecaps · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (14%), 3-0 (12%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Vancouver Whitecaps 3-3 DC United
Original prediction
Vancouver Whitecaps
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:18 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.24 | 76.1% | 58.2% | -17.9 pts |
| Draw | 6.47 | 14.5% | 22.5% | 8.0 pts |
| Away | 10.10 | 9.3% | 19.3% | 10.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 5.47 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-17.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–014%
- 2.3–012%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Vancouver Whitecaps
Probability
58.2%
Model confidence
58.2%
Vancouver Whitecaps has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60