Vancouver Whitecapsvs
Austin
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 9/13/2026, 10:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Vancouver Whitecaps · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-0 (13%), 2-0 (12%), 4-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Vancouver Whitecaps 1-2 Austin
Original prediction
Vancouver Whitecaps
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.26 | 74.6% | 59.3% | -15.4 pts |
| Draw | 6.08 | 15.4% | 21.8% | 6.4 pts |
| Away | 9.44 | 9.9% | 18.9% | 8.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-15.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–013%
- 2.2–012%
- 3.4–010%
Predicted outcome
Vancouver Whitecaps
Probability
59.3%
Model confidence
59.3%
Vancouver Whitecaps has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 4 · avg 2.60/0.80
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20