Valmiera / BSSvs
Tukums II
COMPLETEDLatvia · 1. Liga · 10/18/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Valmiera / BSS · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 4-0 (12%), 5-0 (11%), 3-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Valmiera / BSS 2-2 Tukums II
Original prediction
Valmiera / BSS
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 12:23 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.09 | 82.6% | 89.0% | 6.4 pts |
| Draw | 8.23 | 10.9% | 7.2% | -3.7 pts |
| Away | 13.85 | 6.5% | 3.8% | -2.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 7.23 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.4–012%
- 2.5–011%
- 3.3–011%
Predicted outcome
Valmiera / BSS
Probability
89.0%
Model confidence
89.0%
Valmiera / BSS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 9 · avg 2.60/1.80
GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40