Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Mārupe · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (9%), 1-3 (8%), 1-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 12:24 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–29%
- 2.1–38%
- 3.1–17%
Predicted outcome
Mārupe
Probability
64.8%
Model confidence
64.8%
Mārupe has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
SmilteneWWLLL
GF 10 · GA 14 · avg 2.00/2.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
MārupeDWLLW
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
SmilteneMārupe
46.0Attack54.0
9.5Defence49.2
25.4Form46.0
29.1Power49.3
1.46xG2.79