Valmiera / BSSvs
Super Nova 2
COMPLETEDLatvia · 1. Liga · 10/10/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Valmiera / BSS · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-0 (11%), 2-0 (10%), 3-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Valmiera / BSS 1-1 Super Nova 2
Original prediction
Valmiera / BSS
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.10 | 82.6% | 78.7% | -3.9 pts |
| Draw | 7.81 | 11.6% | 12.9% | 1.3 pts |
| Away | 15.67 | 5.8% | 8.3% | 2.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 6.81 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–011%
- 2.2–010%
- 3.3–19%
Predicted outcome
Valmiera / BSS
Probability
78.7%
Model confidence
78.7%
Valmiera / BSS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 16 · GA 9 · avg 3.20/1.80
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80