Valmiera / BSSvs
Riga Mariners
COMPLETEDLatvia · 1. Liga · 9/19/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Valmiera / BSS · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Valmiera / BSS 2-4 Riga Mariners
Original prediction
Valmiera / BSS
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.70 | 52.7% | 54.9% | 2.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.95 | 22.7% | 20.5% | -2.2 pts |
| Away | 3.64 | 24.6% | 24.6% | -0.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–07%
Predicted outcome
Valmiera / BSS
Probability
54.9%
Model confidence
54.9%
Valmiera / BSS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 18 · GA 6 · avg 3.60/1.20
GF 16 · GA 8 · avg 3.20/1.60