1. Liga1. Liga
Monday, 27 July 2026Last updated 10:12
Valmiera / BSS

Valmiera / BSS

Home
W
30
Full time
Riga FC II

Riga FC II

Away
GoalVio prediction
46% confidence
Valmiera / BSS(46%)
Most likely exact score2-1
Win probability
Valmiera / BSS
46%
Draw
26%
Riga FC II
28%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (Valmiera / BSS)
3.60
avg per match
xG against (Valmiera / BSS)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Valmiera / BSSValmiera / BSS
LWWL

Probability breakdown

46% confidence
Valmiera / BSS46%
Draw26%
Riga FC II28%

Valmiera / BSS leads with 46% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Valmiera / BSS head into this in 1. Liga fixture in mixed form (W), while Riga FC II arrive in unknown form.

Valmiera / BSS have won 1 of their last 2 home fixtures, averaging 3.0 goals scored and 2.5 conceded per game at home. Riga FC II have limited away data in the engine at this stage.

There is no head-to-head data between Valmiera / BSS and Riga FC II in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Valmiera / BSS to win with 46% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 2-1. Win probabilities: Valmiera / BSS 4605%, Draw 2615%, Riga FC II 2780%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Recent form

Valmiera / BSS

Valmiera / BSS

L
vs Ogre United
12 Jul 2026
24
W
vs Leevon / PPK
5 Jul 2026
41
W
@ Smiltene
22 Jun 2026
41
L
@ Riga Mariners
16 May 2026
13

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Valmiera / BSS vs Riga FC II?

GoalVio's model predicts Valmiera / BSS to win with 46% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Valmiera / BSS vs Riga FC II?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.

Will both teams score in Valmiera / BSS vs Riga FC II?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Valmiera / BSS vs Riga FC II?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more