Valmiera / BSSvs
Metta / LU
COMPLETEDLatvia · 1. Liga · 9/5/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Valmiera / BSS · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Valmiera / BSS 2-2 Metta / LU
Original prediction
Valmiera / BSS
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:14 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.40 | 26.3% | 39.5% | 13.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.73 | 24.0% | 22.8% | -1.2 pts |
| Away | 1.80 | 49.7% | 37.8% | -11.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.73 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
13.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Valmiera / BSS
Probability
39.5%
Model confidence
39.5%
Valmiera / BSS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 19 · GA 4 · avg 3.80/0.80
GF 23 · GA 7 · avg 4.60/1.40