Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
AZ W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 23 October 2026 at 07:24 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
AZ W
Probability
42.4%
Model confidence
42.4%
AZ W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Utrecht WLLLLL
GF 3 · GA 12 · avg 0.60/2.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
AZ WLLLWW
GF 5 · GA 14 · avg 1.00/2.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Utrecht WAZ W
19.0Attack42.9
33.3Defence23.8
4.8Form57.1
23.2Power44.2
1.53xG1.75