Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ajax W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 06:40 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Ajax W
Probability
40.5%
Model confidence
40.5%
Ajax W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Ajax WLWWWL
GF 21 · GA 6 · avg 4.20/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Twente WWWWWW
GF 25 · GA 2 · avg 5.00/0.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 5/5
Ajax WTwente W
88.9Attack100.0
72.2Defence83.3
83.3Form100.0
78.5Power92.8
1.81xG1.68