Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ajax W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-3 (10%), 1-3 (9%), 0-4 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Utrecht W 0-1 Ajax W
Original prediction
Ajax W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 10 August 2026 at 22:58 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.2-calibrated-1x2.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–310%
- 2.1–39%
- 3.0–49%
Predicted outcome
Ajax W
Probability
81.3%
Model confidence
81.3%
Ajax W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Utrecht WWWLWW
GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Ajax WWWWWW
GF 12 · GA 3 · avg 2.40/0.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Utrecht WAjax W
51.5Attack93.9
31.8Defence69.7
45.5Form81.8
44.6Power80.3
0.93xG3.64