Uralvs
Nizhny Novgorod
COMPLETEDRussia · First League · 10/18/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ural · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (12%), 1-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ural 1-2 Nizhny Novgorod
Original prediction
Ural
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 17:37 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.49 | 37.0% | 39.7% | 2.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.12 | 29.5% | 27.4% | -2.1 pts |
| Away | 2.75 | 33.5% | 32.8% | -0.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–012%
- 3.1–012%
Predicted outcome
Ural
Probability
39.7%
Model confidence
39.7%
Ural has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
UralLWWDL
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Nizhny NovgorodWWWWW
GF 20 · GA 2 · avg 4.00/0.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 5/5
UralNizhny Novgorod
53.8Attack100.0
79.5Defence64.1
64.1Form87.2
66.1Power82.1
1.18xG1.03