Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ural · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Projected score: Ural 2-0 KAMAZ, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Ural 2-0 KAMAZ
Original prediction
Ural
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:24 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.38 | 66.7% | 72.6% | 6.0 pts |
| Draw | 4.47 | 20.5% | 17.7% | -2.9 pts |
| Away | 7.18 | 12.8% | 9.7% | -3.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.38 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.0 pts
Projected Score
Ural 2–0 KAMAZ
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Ural
Probability
72.6%
Model confidence
72.6%
Ural has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
UralDWDWW
GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
KAMAZWLLDL
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
UralKAMAZ
58.3Attack33.3
83.3Defence40.7
62.5Form18.5
67.3Power34.1
2.28xG0.48