GGOALVIO

Chile · Copa Chile · 9/27/2026, 8:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Universidad de Chile · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Universidad de Chile 1-1 Everton de Vina

Original prediction

Universidad de Chile

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 13 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.7352.9%56.0%3.1 pts
Draw3.7124.7%23.1%-1.6 pts
Away4.1022.4%20.9%-1.4 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.71 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

3.1 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–110%
  2. 2.2–010%
  3. 3.2–110%

Predicted outcome

Universidad de Chile

Probability

56.0%

Model confidence

56.0%

Universidad de Chile has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Universidad de ChileWWWLL

GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Everton de VinaLWLWW

GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Universidad de ChileEverton de Vina
66.7Attack47.6
66.7Defence52.4
76.2Form38.1
71.4Power47.2
2.13xG0.97
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