Union La Caleravs
Coquimbo Unido
SCHEDULEDChile · Copa Chile · 11/4/2026, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Union La Calera · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (13%), 1-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 9 October 2026 at 16:55 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: -| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.20 | 41.7% | 40.2% | -1.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.48 | 26.3% | 28.1% | 1.8 pts |
| Away | 2.85 | 32.1% | 31.7% | -0.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 - · Draw - · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–013%
- 3.1–012%
Predicted outcome
Union La Calera
Probability
40.2%
Model confidence
40.2%
Union La Calera has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Union La CaleraDDDWL
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Coquimbo UnidoWWWLL
GF 13 · GA 11 · avg 2.60/2.20
BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Union La CaleraCoquimbo Unido
58.3Attack50.0
70.8Defence79.2
54.2Form75.0
60.0Power70.4
1.17xG0.97