Union La Caleravs
U. Catolica
COMPLETEDChile · Copa Chile · 9/23/2026, 11:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Union La Calera · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Union La Calera 1-1 U. Catolica
Original prediction
Union La Calera
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 9 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.42 | 26.7% | 41.0% | 14.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.21 | 28.4% | 24.6% | -3.9 pts |
| Away | 2.03 | 44.9% | 34.5% | -10.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.21 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
14.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Union La Calera
Probability
41.0%
Model confidence
41.0%
Union La Calera has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40