Unión Santa Fe Res.vs
Tigre Res.
COMPLETEDArgentina · Reserve League · 9/16/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Unión Santa Fe Res. · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Unión Santa Fe Res. 1-0 Tigre Res., with an exact score probability of 20%.
Prediction record
Final result
Unión Santa Fe Res. 5-1 Tigre Res.
Original prediction
Unión Santa Fe Res.
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 2 September 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.86 | 47.8% | 42.9% | -4.8 pts |
| Draw | 2.94 | 30.3% | 31.3% | 1.0 pts |
| Away | 4.05 | 22.0% | 25.8% | 3.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.86 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.8 pts
Projected Score
Unión Santa Fe Res. 1–0 Tigre Res.
Exact score probability: 20%
Predicted outcome
Unión Santa Fe Res.
Probability
42.9%
Model confidence
42.9%
Unión Santa Fe Res. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40