Argentina · Reserve League · 10/28/2026, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Independiente Riva. Res. · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (11%), 0-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 14 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: -| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.33 | 38.5% | 34.8% | -3.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.21 | 28.0% | 28.0% | 0.0 pts |
| Away | 2.69 | 33.5% | 37.2% | 3.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 - · Draw - · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–011%
- 3.0–110%
Predicted outcome
Independiente Riva. Res.
Probability
37.2%
Model confidence
37.2%
Independiente Riva. Res. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Central Córdoba SdE Res.LLLDL
GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Independiente Riva. Res.WWLDL
GF 11 · GA 10 · avg 2.20/2.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Central Córdoba SdE Res.Independiente Riva. Res.
35.6Attack40.2
43.7Defence50.6
35.6Form37.9
40.5Power44.8
1.12xG1.25