Unión Santa Fe Res.vs
Barracas Central Res.
COMPLETEDArgentina · Reserve League · 10/22/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Unión Santa Fe Res. · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Unión Santa Fe Res. 1-0 Barracas Central Res., with an exact score probability of 22%.
Prediction record
Final result
Unión Santa Fe Res. 1-1 Barracas Central Res.
Original prediction
Unión Santa Fe Res.
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 8 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.67 | 53.6% | 53.9% | 0.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.34 | 26.8% | 27.6% | 0.9 pts |
| Away | 4.55 | 19.7% | 18.5% | -1.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.34 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.3 pts
Projected Score
Unión Santa Fe Res. 1–0 Barracas Central Res.
Exact score probability: 22%
Predicted outcome
Unión Santa Fe Res.
Probability
53.9%
Model confidence
53.9%
Unión Santa Fe Res. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00