Argentina · Reserve League · 10/28/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Estudiantes La Plata Res · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Estudiantes La Plata Res 0-0 Deportivo Riestra Res., with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Estudiantes La Plata Res 1-1 Deportivo Riestra Res.
Original prediction
Estudiantes La Plata Res
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 14 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.02 | 44.2% | 40.3% | -4.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.16 | 28.2% | 30.0% | 1.8 pts |
| Away | 3.24 | 27.6% | 29.8% | 2.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.16 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.0 pts
Projected Score
Estudiantes La Plata Res 0–0 Deportivo Riestra Res.
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Estudiantes La Plata Res
Probability
40.3%
Model confidence
40.3%
Estudiantes La Plata Res has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80