UNAN Managuavs
Managua
COMPLETEDNicaragua · Primera Division · 8/31/2026, 1:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Managua · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (12%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
UNAN Managua 0-2 Managua
Original prediction
Managua
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.72 | 19.2% | 28.2% | 8.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.74 | 24.3% | 26.9% | 2.6 pts |
| Away | 1.61 | 56.5% | 44.9% | -11.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.61 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-11.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–112%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
Managua
Probability
44.9%
Model confidence
44.9%
Managua has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40
GF 18 · GA 3 · avg 3.60/0.60