UNAN Managuavs
Diriangén
COMPLETEDNicaragua · Primera Division · 10/14/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Diriangén · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: UNAN Managua 0-0 Diriangén, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
UNAN Managua 1-3 Diriangén
Original prediction
Diriangén
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 12 October 2026 at 13:15 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.76 | 19.1% | 29.4% | 10.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.79 | 23.9% | 28.3% | 4.3 pts |
| Away | 1.59 | 57.0% | 42.4% | -14.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.59 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-14.6 pts
Projected Score
UNAN Managua 0–0 Diriangén
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Diriangén
Probability
42.4%
Model confidence
42.4%
Diriangén has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
UNAN ManaguaDWWLL
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
DiriangénLWWWD
GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
UNAN ManaguaDiriangén
39.4Attack66.7
75.8Defence63.6
63.6Form72.7
61.9Power69.0
0.90xG0.98