GGOALVIO

Portugal · Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C · 9/13/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Mortágua · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (9%), 0-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

UD da Serra 1-1 Mortágua

Original prediction

Mortágua

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–114%
  2. 2.0–09%
  3. 3.0–19%

Predicted outcome

Mortágua

Probability

37.3%

Model confidence

37.3%

Mortágua has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

UD da SerraDWWLW

GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
MortáguaWWWWL

GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
UD da SerraMortágua
55.6Attack88.9
66.7Defence66.7
77.8Form100.0
70.7Power87.9
1.24xG1.31
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