Nazarenosvs
Sertanense
SCHEDULEDPortugal · Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C · 11/1/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sertanense · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (11%), 0-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 18 October 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–011%
- 3.0–110%
Predicted outcome
Sertanense
Probability
37.2%
Model confidence
37.2%
Sertanense has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
NazarenosWLLLL
GF 3 · GA 11 · avg 0.60/2.20
BTTS 1/5O2.5 4/5
SertanenseDLDLL
GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
NazarenosSertanense
8.3Attack25.0
16.7Defence41.7
0.0Form16.7
14.6Power31.3
1.15xG1.22