UCV MoqueguavsAlianza Atletico

UCV Moquegua are 0W-4D-1L in their last 5 (LDDDD), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Alianza Atletico are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Alianza Atletico hold a 7.1-point power-rating edge (41.8 v 48.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 17.7% in the Primera División, while Alianza Atletico holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 27% for over 2.5 goals.