UCSAvs
Nyva Ternopil
COMPLETEDUkraine · Persha Liga · 8/7/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
UCSA · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
UCSA are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLWLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Nyva Ternopil are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLLDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and UCSA hold a 45.0-point power-rating edge (93.8 v 48.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 16.9% in the Persha Liga, while UCSA holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 31% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
UCSA
Probability
49.6%
Model confidence
16.9%
UCSA has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60