Yarud Mariupol'vs
Chernihiv
SCHEDULEDUkraine · Persha Liga · 11/1/2026, 9:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Chernihiv · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (11%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 2 October 2026 at 12:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–111%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
Chernihiv
Probability
39.8%
Model confidence
39.8%
Chernihiv has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Yarud Mariupol'DLLWL
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
ChernihivDWWLD
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Yarud Mariupol'Chernihiv
40.0Attack58.3
53.3Defence66.7
46.7Form66.7
49.7Power66.3
1.04xG1.32