UCSAvs
Lokomotiv Kyiv
COMPLETEDUkraine · Persha Liga · 10/25/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lokomotiv Kyiv · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (14%), 0-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
UCSA 3-2 Lokomotiv Kyiv
Original prediction
Lokomotiv Kyiv
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 16:50 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.68 | 33.7% | 29.5% | -4.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.15 | 28.7% | 28.7% | 0.1 pts |
| Away | 2.41 | 37.6% | 41.7% | 4.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–114%
- 3.0–013%
Predicted outcome
Lokomotiv Kyiv
Probability
41.7%
Model confidence
41.7%
Lokomotiv Kyiv has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80