U. Catolicavs
Union La Calera
COMPLETEDChile · Copa Chile · 9/26/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
U. Catolica · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (8%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
U. Catolica 0-0 Union La Calera
Original prediction
U. Catolica
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.60 | 57.1% | 43.8% | -13.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.70 | 24.8% | 24.1% | -0.7 pts |
| Away | 5.06 | 18.1% | 32.1% | 14.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.70 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-13.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–18%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
U. Catolica
Probability
43.8%
Model confidence
43.8%
U. Catolica has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80