Tukums IIvs
Super Nova 2
COMPLETEDLatvia · 1. Liga · 10/22/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Super Nova 2 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (9%), 1-1 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Tukums II 0-3 Super Nova 2
Original prediction
Super Nova 2
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 12:24 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.91 | 46.9% | 31.8% | -15.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.90 | 23.0% | 21.1% | -1.9 pts |
| Away | 2.99 | 30.1% | 47.0% | 17.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.99 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
17.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–29%
- 2.1–19%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Super Nova 2
Probability
47.0%
Model confidence
47.0%
Super Nova 2 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00