Tukums IIvs
Leevon / PPK
COMPLETEDLatvia · 1. Liga · 9/6/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Leevon / PPK · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-3 (9%), 0-3 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Tukums II 0-3 Leevon / PPK
Original prediction
Leevon / PPK
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:23 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.37 | 20.6% | 11.3% | -9.4 pts |
| Draw | 4.38 | 20.6% | 13.7% | -6.9 pts |
| Away | 1.53 | 58.8% | 75.0% | 16.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.53 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
16.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–39%
- 2.0–39%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Leevon / PPK
Probability
75.0%
Model confidence
75.0%
Leevon / PPK has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 20 · avg 1.40/4.00
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00