Tre Pennevs
Juvenes / Dogana
COMPLETEDSan-Marino · Coppa Titano · 9/8/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tre Penne · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Tre Penne 2-1 Juvenes / Dogana
Original prediction
Tre Penne
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.56 | 57.6% | 53.1% | -4.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.79 | 23.7% | 24.3% | 0.6 pts |
| Away | 4.81 | 18.7% | 22.6% | 4.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.56 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–110%
- 2.1–110%
- 3.2–09%
Predicted outcome
Tre Penne
Probability
53.1%
Model confidence
53.1%
Tre Penne has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00