Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Virtus · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-0 (12%), 2-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 28 September 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.2–011%
Predicted outcome
Virtus
Probability
48.2%
Model confidence
48.2%
Virtus has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
VirtusWWWWD
GF 9 · GA 2 · avg 1.80/0.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
MurataLLLWL
GF 4 · GA 13 · avg 0.80/2.60
BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
VirtusMurata
100.0Attack0.0
100.0Defence0.0
100.0Form0.0
97.0Power7.0
1.77xG0.86