Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Tranmere 0-0 Walsall, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Tranmere 1-1 Walsall
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 09:55 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.37 | 39.2% | 34.4% | -4.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.30 | 28.2% | 30.9% | 2.7 pts |
| Away | 2.85 | 32.6% | 34.8% | 2.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 2.30 · Draw 2.30 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.7 pts
Projected Score
Tranmere 0–0 Walsall
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
30.9%
Model confidence
34.8%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
TranmereDLWLD
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
WalsallWDDWD
GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
TranmereWalsall
42.9Attack47.6
66.7Defence81.0
47.6Form61.9
53.9Power64.7
0.89xG1.01