Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tranmere · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Tranmere 2-2 Rotherham
Original prediction
Tranmere
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.24 | 41.4% | 43.1% | 1.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.30 | 28.1% | 27.4% | -0.7 pts |
| Away | 3.06 | 30.4% | 29.4% | -1.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.30 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
Tranmere
Probability
43.1%
Model confidence
43.1%
Tranmere has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
TranmereDDWDW
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
RotherhamWDLLD
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
TranmereRotherham
55.6Attack44.4
66.7Defence55.6
55.6Form44.4
60.9Power51.1
1.52xG1.06