Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tranmere · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (13%), 1-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Tranmere 1-1 Rochdale
Original prediction
Tranmere
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 06:17 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.95 | 47.8% | 39.8% | -8.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.48 | 26.8% | 30.0% | 3.2 pts |
| Away | 3.65 | 25.5% | 30.3% | 4.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.48 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–013%
- 3.1–013%
Predicted outcome
Tranmere
Probability
39.8%
Model confidence
39.8%
Tranmere has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
TranmereLDWDL
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
RochdaleLWWDW
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
TranmereRochdale
44.4Attack37.0
55.6Defence59.3
40.7Form48.1
48.6Power49.4
1.18xG0.94