Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tottenham · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Tottenham are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWDWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Charlton are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Tottenham hold a 30.0-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 15.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.5% in the League Cup, while Tottenham holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Tottenham
Probability
49.9%
Model confidence
12.5%
Tottenham has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20