Torpedo Moskvavs
Veles
COMPLETEDRussia · First League · 9/17/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Torpedo Moskva · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Torpedo Moskva 1-0 Veles, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
Torpedo Moskva 1-1 Veles
Original prediction
Torpedo Moskva
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.53 | 60.4% | 63.6% | 3.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.77 | 24.6% | 22.4% | -2.2 pts |
| Away | 6.18 | 15.0% | 14.0% | -1.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.77 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.2 pts
Projected Score
Torpedo Moskva 1–0 Veles
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
Torpedo Moskva
Probability
63.6%
Model confidence
63.6%
Torpedo Moskva has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Torpedo MoskvaLLWWW
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
VelesLLDWW
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Torpedo MoskvaVeles
66.7Attack45.5
73.3Defence60.6
63.3Form66.7
66.8Power60.3
1.70xG0.66