Torpedo Moskvavs
Rotor Volgograd
COMPLETEDRussia · First League · 10/23/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Torpedo Moskva · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-0 (14%), 2-0 (13%), 1-1 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Torpedo Moskva 1-1 Rotor Volgograd
Original prediction
Torpedo Moskva
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 17:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.03 | 45.6% | 49.5% | 4.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.23 | 28.6% | 27.1% | -1.6 pts |
| Away | 3.59 | 25.8% | 23.4% | -2.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.23 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–014%
- 2.2–013%
- 3.1–112%
Predicted outcome
Torpedo Moskva
Probability
49.5%
Model confidence
49.5%
Torpedo Moskva has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00