Torpedo Moskvavs
Nizhny Novgorod
COMPLETEDRussia · First League · 9/13/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Torpedo Moskva · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Torpedo Moskva 1-2 Nizhny Novgorod
Original prediction
Torpedo Moskva
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.36 | 39.2% | 51.3% | 12.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.21 | 28.8% | 23.6% | -5.2 pts |
| Away | 2.88 | 32.0% | 25.1% | -6.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
12.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–09%
Predicted outcome
Torpedo Moskva
Probability
51.3%
Model confidence
51.3%
Torpedo Moskva has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 3 · avg 2.60/0.60
GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60