Torpedo Kutaisivs
Samgurali
COMPLETEDGeorgia · Erovnuli Liga · 9/14/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Torpedo Kutaisi · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-0 (11%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Torpedo Kutaisi 3-2 Samgurali
Original prediction
Torpedo Kutaisi
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 31 August 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.90 | 47.1% | 59.7% | 12.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.35 | 26.8% | 21.3% | -5.5 pts |
| Away | 3.44 | 26.1% | 19.1% | -7.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.90 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
12.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–011%
- 3.2–110%
Predicted outcome
Torpedo Kutaisi
Probability
59.7%
Model confidence
59.7%
Torpedo Kutaisi has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00
GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20