Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Samgurali · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 2 October 2026 at 12:45 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Samgurali
Probability
41.3%
Model confidence
41.3%
Samgurali has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
SamguraliLLLLD
GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40
BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
SpaeriLLDDL
GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
SamguraliSpaeri
46.9Attack42.0
35.8Defence46.9
39.5Form30.9
43.1Power41.4
1.62xG1.47