Torpedo Kutaisivs
Rustavi
COMPLETEDGeorgia · Erovnuli Liga · 10/18/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rustavi · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (15%), 0-1 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Torpedo Kutaisi 0-1 Rustavi
Original prediction
Rustavi
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 20:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.37 | 37.9% | 35.4% | -2.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.12 | 28.8% | 28.4% | -0.4 pts |
| Away | 2.70 | 33.3% | 36.2% | 3.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.70 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–015%
- 3.0–112%
Predicted outcome
Rustavi
Probability
36.2%
Model confidence
36.2%
Rustavi has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00