GGOALVIO

Georgia · Erovnuli Liga · 9/6/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Torpedo Kutaisi · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (10%), 1-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Torpedo Kutaisi 1-1 Dinamo Tbilisi

Original prediction

Torpedo Kutaisi

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.4037.4%39.9%2.5 pts
Draw3.3127.2%26.0%-1.3 pts
Away2.5435.4%34.1%-1.3 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.31 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

2.5 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–114%
  2. 2.0–010%
  3. 3.1–010%

Predicted outcome

Torpedo Kutaisi

Probability

39.9%

Model confidence

39.9%

Torpedo Kutaisi has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Torpedo KutaisiLLDWL

GF 8 · GA 12 · avg 1.60/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Dinamo TbilisiWLWLL

GF 6 · GA 13 · avg 1.20/2.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Torpedo KutaisiDinamo Tbilisi
52.2Attack53.0
60.9Defence60.6
44.9Form56.1
52.9Power57.8
1.30xG1.16
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