Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Torino · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Torino 2-1 Udinese
Original prediction
Torino
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 00:17 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.51 | 37.8% | 39.5% | 1.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.00 | 31.6% | 27.2% | -4.4 pts |
| Away | 3.10 | 30.6% | 33.3% | 2.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.51 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Torino
Probability
39.5%
Model confidence
39.5%
Torino has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
TorinoDLWLL
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
UdineseDLLLW
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
TorinoUdinese
33.3Attack53.3
46.7Defence26.7
26.7Form26.7
38.6Power38.6
1.55xG1.37